Fayetteville AR vs Modesto CA — Cost of Living, Crime & Income Comparison 2026
Updated May 2026 · Source: US Census ACS 5-Year (2023), FBI CDE (2023), BLS OEWS (2024)
Fayetteville, AR
Arkansas · Population: 97,227
- Median HH Income$59,074
- Median Home Price$380,101
- Unemployment4.9%
- Bachelor's+49.8%
Modesto, CA
California · Population: 218,614
- Median HH Income$77,899
- Median Home Price$447,353
- Unemployment7.3%
- Bachelor's+20.3%
Detailed Comparison
Demographics
Population
Fayetteville
97,227
Modesto
218,614
Modesto +
Pop. Density / sq mi
Lower = more space
Fayetteville
N/A
Modesto
N/A
Median Age
Fayetteville
28.7
Fayetteville +
Modesto
35.4
Foreign Born
Fayetteville
5.7%
Modesto
18.7%
Modesto +
White
Fayetteville
75.6%
Fayetteville +
Modesto
50.8%
Black
Fayetteville
5.2%
Fayetteville +
Modesto
4.7%
Asian
Fayetteville
3.1%
Modesto
7.4%
Modesto +
Hispanic
Fayetteville
7.7%
Modesto
43.9%
Modesto +
Spanish at Home
Fayetteville
N/A
Modesto
N/A
| Metric | Fayetteville, AR | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 97,227 | 218,614 | Modesto + |
| Pop. Density / sq miLower = more space | N/A | N/A | - |
| Median Age | 28.7 | 35.4 | Fayetteville + |
| Foreign Born | 5.7% | 18.7% | Modesto + |
| White | 75.6% | 50.8% | Fayetteville + |
| Black | 5.2% | 4.7% | Fayetteville + |
| Asian | 3.1% | 7.4% | Modesto + |
| Hispanic | 7.7% | 43.9% | Modesto + |
| Spanish at Home | N/A | N/A | - |
Economy
Median HH Income
Fayetteville
$59,074
Modesto
$77,899
Modesto +
Per Capita Income
Fayetteville
$37,885
Fayetteville +
Modesto
$34,656
Per Capita Personal Income (MSA)
BEA MSA-level
Fayetteville
$53,714
Modesto
$77,230
Modesto +
Unemployment Rate
Fayetteville
4.9%
Fayetteville +
Modesto
7.3%
Poverty Rate
Fayetteville
21.4%
Modesto
13.0%
Modesto +
Bachelor's Degree+
Fayetteville
49.8%
Fayetteville +
Modesto
20.3%
| Metric | Fayetteville, AR | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median HH Income | $59,074 | $77,899 | Modesto + |
| Per Capita Income | $37,885 | $34,656 | Fayetteville + |
| Per Capita Personal Income (MSA)BEA MSA-level | $53,714 | $77,230 | Modesto + |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.9% | 7.3% | Fayetteville + |
| Poverty Rate | 21.4% | 13.0% | Modesto + |
| Bachelor's Degree+ | 49.8% | 20.3% | Fayetteville + |
Housing
Median Home Value
Zillow ZHVI / Census ACS
Fayetteville
$380,101
Fayetteville +
Modesto
$447,353
Homeownership Rate
Fayetteville
41.9%
Modesto
58.4%
Modesto +
| Metric | Fayetteville, AR | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Home ValueZillow ZHVI / Census ACS | $380,101 | $447,353 | Fayetteville + |
| Homeownership Rate | 41.9% | 58.4% | Modesto + |
Safety
Violent Crime / 100K
FBI CDE (state-level est.)
Fayetteville
660
Modesto
503
Modesto +
Property Crime / 100K
FBI CDE (state-level est.)
Fayetteville
2507
Modesto
2388
Modesto +
| Metric | Fayetteville, AR | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime / 100KFBI CDE (state-level est.) | 660 | 503 | Modesto + |
| Property Crime / 100KFBI CDE (state-level est.) | 2507 | 2388 | Modesto + |
Health
Obesity Rate
CDC PLACES
Fayetteville
33.5%
Fayetteville +
Modesto
36.2%
Diabetes Rate
CDC PLACES
Fayetteville
7.5%
Fayetteville +
Modesto
12.1%
Poor Mental Health
CDC PLACES — 14+ days/month
Fayetteville
20.8%
Modesto
19.0%
Modesto +
No Health Insurance
CDC PLACES
Fayetteville
10.5%
Fayetteville +
Modesto
13.0%
Binge Drinking
CDC PLACES
Fayetteville
17.6%
Modesto
16.5%
Modesto +
Current Smokers
CDC PLACES
Fayetteville
12.0%
Fayetteville +
Modesto
13.7%
| Metric | Fayetteville, AR | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Obesity RateCDC PLACES | 33.5% | 36.2% | Fayetteville + |
| Diabetes RateCDC PLACES | 7.5% | 12.1% | Fayetteville + |
| Poor Mental HealthCDC PLACES — 14+ days/month | 20.8% | 19.0% | Modesto + |
| No Health InsuranceCDC PLACES | 10.5% | 13.0% | Fayetteville + |
| Binge DrinkingCDC PLACES | 17.6% | 16.5% | Modesto + |
| Current SmokersCDC PLACES | 12.0% | 13.7% | Fayetteville + |
Climate
Avg Annual Temp
NOAA 1991–2020 normal
Fayetteville
58.2°F
Fayetteville +
Modesto
63.7°F
Annual Precipitation
NOAA 1991–2020 normal
Fayetteville
45.5 in
Modesto
13.1 in
Modesto +
| Metric | Fayetteville, AR | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg Annual TempNOAA 1991–2020 normal | 58.2°F | 63.7°F | Fayetteville + |
| Annual PrecipitationNOAA 1991–2020 normal | 45.5 in | 13.1 in | Modesto + |
Air Quality
PM2.5 Annual Avg
EPA AQS (state-level est.)
Fayetteville
9.5 µg/m³
Modesto
7.9 µg/m³
Modesto +
Good Air Days
AQI ≤ 50
Fayetteville
55.0%
Modesto
75.0%
Modesto +
| Metric | Fayetteville, AR | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| PM2.5 Annual AvgEPA AQS (state-level est.) | 9.5 µg/m³ | 7.9 µg/m³ | Modesto + |
| Good Air DaysAQI ≤ 50 | 55.0% | 75.0% | Modesto + |
Commute
Mean Commute Time
Census ACS
Fayetteville
19.9 min
Fayetteville +
Modesto
30.5 min
| Metric | Fayetteville, AR | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean Commute TimeCensus ACS | 19.9 min | 30.5 min | Fayetteville + |
Which City is Right for You?
Modesto leads in median household income at $77,899, while fayetteville offers more affordable housing with a median home price of $380,101. On public safety, Modesto is safer with a violent crime rate of 503 per 100,000 residents, compared to 660 in Fayetteville. Fayetteville has a lower unemployment rate at 4.9%, and Modesto has cleaner air (PM2.5 avg 7.9 µg/m³). For overall health outcomes, Fayetteville scores better with a lower obesity rate of 33.5%.
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