Lancaster CA vs Modesto CA — Cost of Living, Crime & Income Comparison 2026
Updated May 2026 · Source: US Census ACS 5-Year (2023), FBI CDE (2023), BLS OEWS (2024)
Lancaster, CA
California · Population: 170,013
- Median HH Income$76,083
- Median Home Price$466,147
- Unemployment7.1%
- Bachelor's+20.1%
Modesto, CA
California · Population: 218,614
- Median HH Income$77,899
- Median Home Price$447,353
- Unemployment7.3%
- Bachelor's+20.3%
Detailed Comparison
Demographics
Population
Lancaster
170,013
Modesto
218,614
Modesto +
Pop. Density / sq mi
Lower = more space
Lancaster
N/A
Modesto
N/A
Median Age
Lancaster
34.2
Lancaster +
Modesto
35.4
Foreign Born
Lancaster
13.9%
Modesto
18.7%
Modesto +
White
Lancaster
35.5%
Modesto
50.8%
Modesto +
Black
Lancaster
21.4%
Lancaster +
Modesto
4.7%
Asian
Lancaster
4.0%
Modesto
7.4%
Modesto +
Hispanic
Lancaster
45.9%
Lancaster +
Modesto
43.9%
Spanish at Home
Lancaster
N/A
Modesto
N/A
| Metric | Lancaster, CA | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 170,013 | 218,614 | Modesto + |
| Pop. Density / sq miLower = more space | N/A | N/A | - |
| Median Age | 34.2 | 35.4 | Lancaster + |
| Foreign Born | 13.9% | 18.7% | Modesto + |
| White | 35.5% | 50.8% | Modesto + |
| Black | 21.4% | 4.7% | Lancaster + |
| Asian | 4.0% | 7.4% | Modesto + |
| Hispanic | 45.9% | 43.9% | Lancaster + |
| Spanish at Home | N/A | N/A | - |
Economy
Median HH Income
Lancaster
$76,083
Modesto
$77,899
Modesto +
Per Capita Income
Lancaster
$29,766
Modesto
$34,656
Modesto +
Per Capita Personal Income (MSA)
BEA MSA-level
Lancaster
$77,230
Modesto
$77,230
Tie
Unemployment Rate
Lancaster
7.1%
Lancaster +
Modesto
7.3%
Poverty Rate
Lancaster
15.5%
Modesto
13.0%
Modesto +
Bachelor's Degree+
Lancaster
20.1%
Modesto
20.3%
Modesto +
| Metric | Lancaster, CA | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median HH Income | $76,083 | $77,899 | Modesto + |
| Per Capita Income | $29,766 | $34,656 | Modesto + |
| Per Capita Personal Income (MSA)BEA MSA-level | $77,230 | $77,230 | Tie |
| Unemployment Rate | 7.1% | 7.3% | Lancaster + |
| Poverty Rate | 15.5% | 13.0% | Modesto + |
| Bachelor's Degree+ | 20.1% | 20.3% | Modesto + |
Housing
Median Home Value
Zillow ZHVI / Census ACS
Lancaster
$466,147
Modesto
$447,353
Modesto +
Homeownership Rate
Lancaster
58.4%
Modesto
58.4%
Modesto +
| Metric | Lancaster, CA | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Home ValueZillow ZHVI / Census ACS | $466,147 | $447,353 | Modesto + |
| Homeownership Rate | 58.4% | 58.4% | Modesto + |
Safety
Violent Crime / 100K
FBI CDE (state-level est.)
Lancaster
503
Modesto
503
Tie
Property Crime / 100K
FBI CDE (state-level est.)
Lancaster
2388
Modesto
2388
Tie
| Metric | Lancaster, CA | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime / 100KFBI CDE (state-level est.) | 503 | 503 | Tie |
| Property Crime / 100KFBI CDE (state-level est.) | 2388 | 2388 | Tie |
Health
Obesity Rate
CDC PLACES
Lancaster
30.6%
Lancaster +
Modesto
36.2%
Diabetes Rate
CDC PLACES
Lancaster
12.6%
Modesto
12.1%
Modesto +
Poor Mental Health
CDC PLACES — 14+ days/month
Lancaster
19.3%
Modesto
19.0%
Modesto +
No Health Insurance
CDC PLACES
Lancaster
12.9%
Lancaster +
Modesto
13.0%
Binge Drinking
CDC PLACES
Lancaster
15.8%
Lancaster +
Modesto
16.5%
Current Smokers
CDC PLACES
Lancaster
14.0%
Modesto
13.7%
Modesto +
| Metric | Lancaster, CA | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Obesity RateCDC PLACES | 30.6% | 36.2% | Lancaster + |
| Diabetes RateCDC PLACES | 12.6% | 12.1% | Modesto + |
| Poor Mental HealthCDC PLACES — 14+ days/month | 19.3% | 19.0% | Modesto + |
| No Health InsuranceCDC PLACES | 12.9% | 13.0% | Lancaster + |
| Binge DrinkingCDC PLACES | 15.8% | 16.5% | Lancaster + |
| Current SmokersCDC PLACES | 14.0% | 13.7% | Modesto + |
Climate
Avg Annual Temp
NOAA 1991–2020 normal
Lancaster
62.1°F
Lancaster +
Modesto
63.7°F
Annual Precipitation
NOAA 1991–2020 normal
Lancaster
7.4 in
Lancaster +
Modesto
13.1 in
| Metric | Lancaster, CA | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg Annual TempNOAA 1991–2020 normal | 62.1°F | 63.7°F | Lancaster + |
| Annual PrecipitationNOAA 1991–2020 normal | 7.4 in | 13.1 in | Lancaster + |
Air Quality
PM2.5 Annual Avg
EPA AQS (state-level est.)
Lancaster
7.9 µg/m³
Modesto
7.9 µg/m³
Tie
Good Air Days
AQI ≤ 50
Lancaster
75.0%
Modesto
75.0%
Tie
| Metric | Lancaster, CA | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| PM2.5 Annual AvgEPA AQS (state-level est.) | 7.9 µg/m³ | 7.9 µg/m³ | Tie |
| Good Air DaysAQI ≤ 50 | 75.0% | 75.0% | Tie |
Commute
Mean Commute Time
Census ACS
Lancaster
33.0 min
Modesto
30.5 min
Modesto +
| Metric | Lancaster, CA | Modesto, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean Commute TimeCensus ACS | 33.0 min | 30.5 min | Modesto + |
Which City is Right for You?
Modesto leads in median household income at $77,899, while modesto offers more affordable housing with a median home price of $447,353. On public safety, Modesto is safer with a violent crime rate of 503 per 100,000 residents, compared to 503 in Lancaster. Lancaster has a lower unemployment rate at 7.1%, and Modesto has cleaner air (PM2.5 avg 7.9 µg/m³). For overall health outcomes, Lancaster scores better with a lower obesity rate of 30.6%.
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