Memphis TN vs Modesto CA — Cost of Living, Crime & Income Comparison 2026

Updated May 2026 · Source: US Census ACS 5-Year (2023), FBI CDE (2023), BLS OEWS (2024)

Memphis, TN

Tennessee · Population: 629,063

  • Median HH Income$51,211
  • Median Home Price$147,306
  • Unemployment8.3%
  • Bachelor's+28.2%

Modesto, CA

California · Population: 218,614

  • Median HH Income$77,899
  • Median Home Price$447,353
  • Unemployment7.3%
  • Bachelor's+20.3%

Detailed Comparison

Demographics

Population
Memphis
629,063
Memphis +
Modesto
218,614
Pop. Density / sq mi
Lower = more space
Memphis
N/A
Modesto
N/A
Median Age
Memphis
34.3
Memphis +
Modesto
35.4
Foreign Born
Memphis
7.4%
Modesto
18.7%
Modesto +
White
Memphis
25.0%
Modesto
50.8%
Modesto +
Black
Memphis
62.9%
Memphis +
Modesto
4.7%
Asian
Memphis
1.7%
Modesto
7.4%
Modesto +
Hispanic
Memphis
10.2%
Modesto
43.9%
Modesto +
Spanish at Home
Memphis
N/A
Modesto
N/A

Economy

Median HH Income
Memphis
$51,211
Modesto
$77,899
Modesto +
Per Capita Income
Memphis
$32,314
Modesto
$34,656
Modesto +
Per Capita Personal Income (MSA)
BEA MSA-level
Memphis
$59,097
Modesto
$77,230
Modesto +
Unemployment Rate
Memphis
8.3%
Modesto
7.3%
Modesto +
Poverty Rate
Memphis
22.5%
Modesto
13.0%
Modesto +
Bachelor's Degree+
Memphis
28.2%
Memphis +
Modesto
20.3%

Housing

Median Home Value
Zillow ZHVI / Census ACS
Memphis
$147,306
Memphis +
Modesto
$447,353
Homeownership Rate
Memphis
46.0%
Modesto
58.4%
Modesto +

Safety

Violent Crime / 100K
FBI CDE (state-level est.)
Memphis
639
Modesto
503
Modesto +
Property Crime / 100K
FBI CDE (state-level est.)
Memphis
2350
Memphis +
Modesto
2388

Health

Obesity Rate
CDC PLACES
Memphis
42.1%
Modesto
36.2%
Modesto +
Diabetes Rate
CDC PLACES
Memphis
17.6%
Modesto
12.1%
Modesto +
Poor Mental Health
CDC PLACES — 14+ days/month
Memphis
20.7%
Modesto
19.0%
Modesto +
No Health Insurance
CDC PLACES
Memphis
14.9%
Modesto
13.0%
Modesto +
Binge Drinking
CDC PLACES
Memphis
13.5%
Memphis +
Modesto
16.5%
Current Smokers
CDC PLACES
Memphis
19.9%
Modesto
13.7%
Modesto +

Climate

Avg Annual Temp
NOAA 1991–2020 normal
Memphis
60.9°F
Memphis +
Modesto
63.7°F
Annual Precipitation
NOAA 1991–2020 normal
Memphis
54.9 in
Modesto
13.1 in
Modesto +

Air Quality

PM2.5 Annual Avg
EPA AQS (state-level est.)
Memphis
8.9 µg/m³
Modesto
7.9 µg/m³
Modesto +
Good Air Days
AQI ≤ 50
Memphis
75.0%
Modesto
75.0%
Tie

Commute

Mean Commute Time
Census ACS
Memphis
22.9 min
Memphis +
Modesto
30.5 min

Which City is Right for You?

Modesto leads in median household income at $77,899, while memphis offers more affordable housing with a median home price of $147,306. On public safety, Modesto is safer with a violent crime rate of 503 per 100,000 residents, compared to 639 in Memphis. Modesto has a lower unemployment rate at 7.3%, and Modesto has cleaner air (PM2.5 avg 7.9 µg/m³). For overall health outcomes, Modesto scores better with a lower obesity rate of 36.2%.

Compare More Cities

About Memphis & Modesto