Surprise AZ vs Warren MI — Cost of Living, Crime & Income Comparison 2026
Updated May 2026 · Source: US Census ACS 5-Year (2023), FBI CDE (2023), BLS OEWS (2024)
Surprise, AZ
Arizona · Population: 149,519
- Median HH Income$93,371
- Median Home Price$422,520
- Unemployment4.2%
- Bachelor's+31.0%
Warren, MI
Michigan · Population: 138,128
- Median HH Income$63,741
- Median Home Price$200,632
- Unemployment7.4%
- Bachelor's+20.4%
Detailed Comparison
Demographics
Population
Surprise
149,519
Surprise +
Warren
138,128
Pop. Density / sq mi
Lower = more space
Surprise
N/A
Warren
N/A
Median Age
Surprise
41.6
Warren
37.9
Warren +
Foreign Born
Surprise
6.8%
Warren
13.7%
Warren +
White
Surprise
75.0%
Surprise +
Warren
60.8%
Black
Surprise
4.8%
Warren
20.9%
Warren +
Asian
Surprise
2.6%
Warren
11.9%
Warren +
Hispanic
Surprise
19.2%
Surprise +
Warren
2.8%
Spanish at Home
Surprise
N/A
Warren
N/A
| Metric | Surprise, AZ | Warren, MI | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 149,519 | 138,128 | Surprise + |
| Pop. Density / sq miLower = more space | N/A | N/A | - |
| Median Age | 41.6 | 37.9 | Warren + |
| Foreign Born | 6.8% | 13.7% | Warren + |
| White | 75.0% | 60.8% | Surprise + |
| Black | 4.8% | 20.9% | Warren + |
| Asian | 2.6% | 11.9% | Warren + |
| Hispanic | 19.2% | 2.8% | Surprise + |
| Spanish at Home | N/A | N/A | - |
Economy
Median HH Income
Surprise
$93,371
Surprise +
Warren
$63,741
Per Capita Income
Surprise
$39,604
Surprise +
Warren
$32,162
Per Capita Personal Income (MSA)
BEA MSA-level
Surprise
$59,120
Surprise +
Warren
$58,052
Unemployment Rate
Surprise
4.2%
Surprise +
Warren
7.4%
Poverty Rate
Surprise
7.8%
Surprise +
Warren
12.8%
Bachelor's Degree+
Surprise
31.0%
Surprise +
Warren
20.4%
| Metric | Surprise, AZ | Warren, MI | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median HH Income | $93,371 | $63,741 | Surprise + |
| Per Capita Income | $39,604 | $32,162 | Surprise + |
| Per Capita Personal Income (MSA)BEA MSA-level | $59,120 | $58,052 | Surprise + |
| Unemployment Rate | 4.2% | 7.4% | Surprise + |
| Poverty Rate | 7.8% | 12.8% | Surprise + |
| Bachelor's Degree+ | 31.0% | 20.4% | Surprise + |
Housing
Median Home Value
Zillow ZHVI / Census ACS
Surprise
$422,520
Warren
$200,632
Warren +
Homeownership Rate
Surprise
79.0%
Surprise +
Warren
71.0%
| Metric | Surprise, AZ | Warren, MI | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Home ValueZillow ZHVI / Census ACS | $422,520 | $200,632 | Warren + |
| Homeownership Rate | 79.0% | 71.0% | Surprise + |
Safety
Violent Crime / 100K
FBI CDE (state-level est.)
Surprise
450
Surprise +
Warren
471
Property Crime / 100K
FBI CDE (state-level est.)
Surprise
2150
Warren
1590
Warren +
| Metric | Surprise, AZ | Warren, MI | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime / 100KFBI CDE (state-level est.) | 450 | 471 | Surprise + |
| Property Crime / 100KFBI CDE (state-level est.) | 2150 | 1590 | Warren + |
Health
Obesity Rate
CDC PLACES
Surprise
29.4%
Surprise +
Warren
39.1%
Diabetes Rate
CDC PLACES
Surprise
11.2%
Surprise +
Warren
12.5%
Poor Mental Health
CDC PLACES — 14+ days/month
Surprise
14.2%
Surprise +
Warren
18.9%
No Health Insurance
CDC PLACES
Surprise
10.5%
Warren
8.1%
Warren +
Binge Drinking
CDC PLACES
Surprise
14.9%
Surprise +
Warren
15.7%
Current Smokers
CDC PLACES
Surprise
10.4%
Surprise +
Warren
18.0%
| Metric | Surprise, AZ | Warren, MI | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Obesity RateCDC PLACES | 29.4% | 39.1% | Surprise + |
| Diabetes RateCDC PLACES | 11.2% | 12.5% | Surprise + |
| Poor Mental HealthCDC PLACES — 14+ days/month | 14.2% | 18.9% | Surprise + |
| No Health InsuranceCDC PLACES | 10.5% | 8.1% | Warren + |
| Binge DrinkingCDC PLACES | 14.9% | 15.7% | Surprise + |
| Current SmokersCDC PLACES | 10.4% | 18.0% | Surprise + |
Climate
Avg Annual Temp
NOAA 1991–2020 normal
Surprise
N/A
Warren
N/A
Annual Precipitation
NOAA 1991–2020 normal
Surprise
N/A
Warren
N/A
| Metric | Surprise, AZ | Warren, MI | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg Annual TempNOAA 1991–2020 normal | N/A | N/A | - |
| Annual PrecipitationNOAA 1991–2020 normal | N/A | N/A | - |
Air Quality
PM2.5 Annual Avg
EPA AQS (state-level est.)
Surprise
7.1 µg/m³
Surprise +
Warren
10.7 µg/m³
Good Air Days
AQI ≤ 50
Surprise
75.0%
Surprise +
Warren
55.0%
| Metric | Surprise, AZ | Warren, MI | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| PM2.5 Annual AvgEPA AQS (state-level est.) | 7.1 µg/m³ | 10.7 µg/m³ | Surprise + |
| Good Air DaysAQI ≤ 50 | 75.0% | 55.0% | Surprise + |
Commute
Mean Commute Time
Census ACS
Surprise
32.8 min
Warren
26.9 min
Warren +
| Metric | Surprise, AZ | Warren, MI | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean Commute TimeCensus ACS | 32.8 min | 26.9 min | Warren + |
Which City is Right for You?
Surprise leads in median household income at $93,371, while warren offers more affordable housing with a median home price of $200,632. On public safety, Surprise is safer with a violent crime rate of 450 per 100,000 residents, compared to 471 in Warren. Surprise has a lower unemployment rate at 4.2%, and Surprise has cleaner air (PM2.5 avg 7.1 µg/m³). For overall health outcomes, Surprise scores better with a lower obesity rate of 29.4%.
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