Modesto CA vs Ontario CA — Cost of Living, Crime & Income Comparison 2026
Updated May 2026 · Source: US Census ACS 5-Year (2023), FBI CDE (2023), BLS OEWS (2024)
Modesto, CA
California · Population: 218,614
- Median HH Income$77,899
- Median Home Price$447,353
- Unemployment7.3%
- Bachelor's+20.3%
Ontario, CA
California · Population: 138,723
- Median HH Income$116,945
- Median Home Price$671,948
- Unemployment4.7%
- Bachelor's+40.1%
Detailed Comparison
Demographics
Population
Modesto
218,614
Modesto +
Ontario
138,723
Pop. Density / sq mi
Lower = more space
Modesto
N/A
Ontario
N/A
Median Age
Modesto
35.4
Modesto +
Ontario
36.9
Foreign Born
Modesto
18.7%
Ontario
21.0%
Ontario +
White
Modesto
50.8%
Ontario
53.6%
Ontario +
Black
Modesto
4.7%
Modesto +
Ontario
1.6%
Asian
Modesto
7.4%
Ontario
13.1%
Ontario +
Hispanic
Modesto
43.9%
Modesto +
Ontario
40.0%
Spanish at Home
Modesto
N/A
Ontario
N/A
| Metric | Modesto, CA | Ontario, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 218,614 | 138,723 | Modesto + |
| Pop. Density / sq miLower = more space | N/A | N/A | - |
| Median Age | 35.4 | 36.9 | Modesto + |
| Foreign Born | 18.7% | 21.0% | Ontario + |
| White | 50.8% | 53.6% | Ontario + |
| Black | 4.7% | 1.6% | Modesto + |
| Asian | 7.4% | 13.1% | Ontario + |
| Hispanic | 43.9% | 40.0% | Modesto + |
| Spanish at Home | N/A | N/A | - |
Economy
Median HH Income
Modesto
$77,899
Ontario
$116,945
Ontario +
Per Capita Income
Modesto
$34,656
Ontario
$50,759
Ontario +
Per Capita Personal Income (MSA)
BEA MSA-level
Modesto
$77,230
Ontario
$77,230
Tie
Unemployment Rate
Modesto
7.3%
Ontario
4.7%
Ontario +
Poverty Rate
Modesto
13.0%
Ontario
9.2%
Ontario +
Bachelor's Degree+
Modesto
20.3%
Ontario
40.1%
Ontario +
| Metric | Modesto, CA | Ontario, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median HH Income | $77,899 | $116,945 | Ontario + |
| Per Capita Income | $34,656 | $50,759 | Ontario + |
| Per Capita Personal Income (MSA)BEA MSA-level | $77,230 | $77,230 | Tie |
| Unemployment Rate | 7.3% | 4.7% | Ontario + |
| Poverty Rate | 13.0% | 9.2% | Ontario + |
| Bachelor's Degree+ | 20.3% | 40.1% | Ontario + |
Housing
Median Home Value
Zillow ZHVI / Census ACS
Modesto
$447,353
Modesto +
Ontario
$671,948
Homeownership Rate
Modesto
58.4%
Modesto +
Ontario
58.1%
| Metric | Modesto, CA | Ontario, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Home ValueZillow ZHVI / Census ACS | $447,353 | $671,948 | Modesto + |
| Homeownership Rate | 58.4% | 58.1% | Modesto + |
Safety
Violent Crime / 100K
FBI CDE (state-level est.)
Modesto
503
Ontario
503
Tie
Property Crime / 100K
FBI CDE (state-level est.)
Modesto
2388
Ontario
2388
Tie
| Metric | Modesto, CA | Ontario, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Violent Crime / 100KFBI CDE (state-level est.) | 503 | 503 | Tie |
| Property Crime / 100KFBI CDE (state-level est.) | 2388 | 2388 | Tie |
Health
Obesity Rate
CDC PLACES
Modesto
36.2%
Ontario
33.6%
Ontario +
Diabetes Rate
CDC PLACES
Modesto
12.1%
Ontario
12.0%
Ontario +
Poor Mental Health
CDC PLACES — 14+ days/month
Modesto
19.0%
Ontario
17.8%
Ontario +
No Health Insurance
CDC PLACES
Modesto
13.0%
Modesto +
Ontario
17.0%
Binge Drinking
CDC PLACES
Modesto
16.5%
Ontario
15.7%
Ontario +
Current Smokers
CDC PLACES
Modesto
13.7%
Ontario
12.0%
Ontario +
| Metric | Modesto, CA | Ontario, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Obesity RateCDC PLACES | 36.2% | 33.6% | Ontario + |
| Diabetes RateCDC PLACES | 12.1% | 12.0% | Ontario + |
| Poor Mental HealthCDC PLACES — 14+ days/month | 19.0% | 17.8% | Ontario + |
| No Health InsuranceCDC PLACES | 13.0% | 17.0% | Modesto + |
| Binge DrinkingCDC PLACES | 16.5% | 15.7% | Ontario + |
| Current SmokersCDC PLACES | 13.7% | 12.0% | Ontario + |
Climate
Avg Annual Temp
NOAA 1991–2020 normal
Modesto
63.7°F
Modesto +
Ontario
65.5°F
Annual Precipitation
NOAA 1991–2020 normal
Modesto
13.1 in
Modesto +
Ontario
15.0 in
| Metric | Modesto, CA | Ontario, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avg Annual TempNOAA 1991–2020 normal | 63.7°F | 65.5°F | Modesto + |
| Annual PrecipitationNOAA 1991–2020 normal | 13.1 in | 15.0 in | Modesto + |
Air Quality
PM2.5 Annual Avg
EPA AQS (state-level est.)
Modesto
7.9 µg/m³
Ontario
7.9 µg/m³
Tie
Good Air Days
AQI ≤ 50
Modesto
75.0%
Ontario
75.0%
Tie
| Metric | Modesto, CA | Ontario, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| PM2.5 Annual AvgEPA AQS (state-level est.) | 7.9 µg/m³ | 7.9 µg/m³ | Tie |
| Good Air DaysAQI ≤ 50 | 75.0% | 75.0% | Tie |
Commute
Mean Commute Time
Census ACS
Modesto
30.5 min
Ontario
28.2 min
Ontario +
| Metric | Modesto, CA | Ontario, CA | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean Commute TimeCensus ACS | 30.5 min | 28.2 min | Ontario + |
Which City is Right for You?
Ontario leads in median household income at $116,945, while modesto offers more affordable housing with a median home price of $447,353. On public safety, Ontario is safer with a violent crime rate of 503 per 100,000 residents, compared to 503 in Modesto. Ontario has a lower unemployment rate at 4.7%, and Ontario has cleaner air (PM2.5 avg 7.9 µg/m³). For overall health outcomes, Ontario scores better with a lower obesity rate of 33.6%.
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